Technical Overview of AUD/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CHF Currency Pair

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6747.

• AUD/USD maintaining bid tone as markets send mixed signals regarding risk.
• US yields hitting historic lows in Asia with 30-year yield below 2.0%.
• Bond market is pricing in strong chance of recession nL4N25B0GG.
• Despite moves in US Treasuries. S&P futures up over 0.40%.
• AUD/USD steady around 0.6775 - up 0.41% after better than expected Aus jobsnAZN0QH300.
• Unless bond market wrong, AUD/USD should struggle on global growth concerns.
• AUD/USD resistance at 0.6820/35 where daily highs converge with 38.2 fibo.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6738 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6721. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6794 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6811.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 105.89.

Retail Sales m/m reflect a change in the US retail sails in the reported month compared to the previous one. The indicator is calculated based on statistics received from 5,000 retail stores of different types and sizes, and the data are then extrapolated to the whole country.

The indicator is used for estimating inflation. Its growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.70 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.48. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.44, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.66.

USD CHF

USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9732.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9712 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9697. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9762, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9777.

According to Citi Research report "With risk sentiment continuing to deteriorate by the week, investors may look to extend risk aversion trades into 2020 as:

(1) Worsening US – China trade tensions risk a disinflationary impulse from CNY heading towards 7.25 - 50;

(2) Possible risk of USD intervention by the US;

(3) Rising odds of a “No Deal” Brexit;

(4) Re-emergence of Italy political risk;

(5) Slowing global growth leading to central bank policy responses and a “race to the bottom” in rates sparking a currency war;

(6) Potential damage to US – Japan/ Europe trade relations should Trump impose tariffs on auto imports;

(7) 2020 - US presidential election year leaves scope for a more aggressive Trump;

(8) Tensions in HK, Iran, North Korea, now Argentina and India – Pakistan,"

Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/CAD and AUD/USD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1102.

EUR/USD failed to confirm a bullish reversal with a close above 1.1153 on Monday.

German GDP is expected to have contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter.                        

HICP is an index of consumer prices calculated and published by Destatis, the Statistical Office of the European Union, on the basis of a statistical methodology that has been harmonized across all EU member states. HICP is a measure of prices used by Governing Council of EU to define and assess price stability in the euro area as a whole in quantitative terms.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1079 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1057. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1138 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1175.

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3254.

The Gross Domestic Product Annualized released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced within a country in a given period of time. GDP Annualized is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3229 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3203. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3298, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3342.

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against CAD and closed at 0.6775.

The Aussie ignored upbeat Chinese data and risk-on trades on the Asian stocks. Focus remains on trade and US data.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6732 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6713. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6774, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6797.

Edited by user Tuesday, August 27, 2019 7:08:44 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Technical Overview of EUR/CNY, USD/JPY and USD/CAD Currency Pair

EUR CNY

EUR traded higher against CNY and closed at 7.9029.

The core Consumer Price Index released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol and tobacco. The core CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

The Euro Zone CPI released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. Generally, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI™, released by Market Economics, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in over 400 private manufacturing sector companies.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 7.881 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 7.860. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 7.934 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 7.967.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 106.5200.

Retail Sales m/m show the total volume of retail sales of goods and services in the past month compared with the previous one. This is a highly volatile indicator, it is seasonally adjusted.

The index allows evaluating consumer spending which is an important indicator of the national inflation.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on yen quotes.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.55 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.33. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.03, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.29.

USD CAD

USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3287.

The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Canada. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Canadian economic activity and health. A rising trend has a positive effect on the CAD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the CAD.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3239 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3194. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3315, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3346.