Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users, Subscribers Joined: 12/30/2005(UTC) Posts: 120
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I would like to know on what to consider on position sizing on Forex.
Condition : When price cross over 10 moving average, then I enter long position. If EUR/USD and USD/CAD meet this condition, I get no idea on how to determine the position sizing for both currency, should I simply use fixed fraction?
Does anyone have any suggestions?
Thanks in advance for any suggestions
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups ready for retrieval: Registered, Registered Users, Subscribers Joined: 11/18/2007(UTC) Posts: 96 Location: HK
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This general question is like asking what s[censored] size you should use - it depends entirely on personal circumstances. Unless you are fortunate enough to have a rich daddy, most of us either have to limit our losses, or go back to waiting on tables. Position size is a way to control your exposure to market risk - it pays to see yourself as a private insurance company buying up risk. If your personal risk tolerance is say, 30% drawdowns (DD), and your backtest results show historical DDs of 60%, then your position size (for that particular fx pair with that particular strategy) should be decreased to 50%, halving your risk exposure to 30%, as well as your potential profits. Conversely, if your backtest results show a max DD of 10%, then your pos size should be increased to 300% (x3 leverage, tripling your profits). All the above assumes that you have: 1) a strategy with clear entry and exit rules; 2) the necessary tools to determine profitability and risk (e.g., VST); 3) sufficient trading capital; 4) the necessary cojones to stick to your strategy.
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