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Steven  
#1 Posted : Friday, January 26, 2007 5:07:13 PM(UTC)
Steven

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Posts: 14
Location: Edmonton, Alberta

Does anyone have a good indicator that can determine if the trend is up, down or sideways?

Thanks

vaughn  
#2 Posted : Sunday, January 28, 2007 10:38:45 AM(UTC)
vaughn

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The Directional Movement System is a fairly complex indicator developed by Welles Wilder and explained in his book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.

Most indicators have one major weakness - they are not suited for use in both trending and ranging markets. The key feature of the Directional Movement System is that it first identifies whether the market is trending before providing signals for trading the trend.

Directional Movement System measures the ability of bulls and bears to move price outside the previous day's trading range. The system consists of three lines:

  • The Positive Direction Indicator (+DI) summarizes upward trend movement;
  • The Negative Direction Indicator (-DI) summarizes downward trend movement; and
  • The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) indicates whether the market is trending or ranging.
Ben_Zurich  
#3 Posted : Wednesday, January 31, 2007 11:50:57 AM(UTC)
Ben_Zurich

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are you trading this ?


Steven  
#4 Posted : Thursday, February 1, 2007 1:42:55 PM(UTC)
Steven

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Joined: 12/8/2005(UTC)
Posts: 14
Location: Edmonton, Alberta

If you are asking me if I trade using the ADX and DMI for trend direction, the answer is no.

I trade on the 15m chart but look at the 1 hour chart for trend direction. The simplest way I have found to determine trend is to look at what side the macd is in relationship to its signal line. The only problem with this is that it does not tell me when their is no trend. In fact when their is no trend the macd will usually wipsaw back and forth through the signal line. Does anybody have a better way to detect the trend in higher time frames?

Thanks, Steven
Ben_Zurich  
#5 Posted : Thursday, February 1, 2007 2:31:02 PM(UTC)
Ben_Zurich

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Posts: 57
Location: Zurich, Switzerland


although not perfect at all, one thing I that can be used for determining the momentum is:

sMA:=20;
lMA:=180;
pctdiv=0.005
((Mov(C,sMA,E)-Mov(C,lMA,TRI))/Mov(C,lMA,TRI))>pctdiv

you can optimize it on a per stock basis, but I found in general, a short MA E (quicker) and longer MA Tri (more stable) seem to work quite nicely.

Cheers, Ben

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