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Anybobdy had any thoughts about TrendMedium?
Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users, Subscribers, Unverified Users Joined: 2/2/2005(UTC) Posts: 307
Thanks: 7 times Was thanked: 3 time(s) in 3 post(s)
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Does anybody have any feedback about TrendMedium AddOn?
Is it worth it to Buy, I have been looking at it today
I appreciate if someone can give me there feedback
Nasdaqtrader |
Regards,
Frank Koenig
Trade Like a Pro
Trend is your Friend |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 4/23/2005(UTC) Posts: 31
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 12/10/2005(UTC) Posts: 6
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users, Subscribers Joined: 3/7/2005(UTC) Posts: 1,346
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and thanks to all 3 of yall...... downloading it now.......h
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Rank: Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users, Subscribers Joined: 10/29/2005(UTC) Posts: 25
Thanks: 2 times Was thanked: 4 time(s) in 2 post(s)
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Yep i use it. I've also posted about it before. I recomend to download the trial and give it a go. It's one of the easiest to use and when comvined with good money management principles it makes a great system.
damo
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 12/10/2005(UTC) Posts: 6
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Hello Damo.
I'm finishing TrendMedium with money management now.
Compare two deep 120 days Walk Forward Tests for QQQQ 15 min.
PS : if you like try prerelease before i'll release it - contact me by email elabunsky@gmail.com (I prefer it for first time emails because it have good spam filter).
PPS. Like notice WalkForwardTest is day by day trading simulation and similar with the paper trading. No forward looking or InSample signals.
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 12/10/2005(UTC) Posts: 6
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 1/1/2006(UTC) Posts: 39
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Nasdaqtrader,
I just spent the last four days trying to predict four symbols:
VTI, VWO, VPL, and VGK using TrendMedium.
These four symbols are ETF's for the USA, emerging markets, Japan and some pacific countries, and Western Europe.
My impression from using the program is that it needs to do substantial improvements in terms of its report generating ability.
In addition, as you will see below, it is quite difficult to interepret the results to take any action.
The following are the results that I got:
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
Total
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
Totals Hold
40
38
38
38
154
Hold co
8
10
5
11
Totals Buy
3
2
0
3
8
Buy co
3
0
0
0
Totals Bullish
0
3
2
4
9
Bullish co
0
1
0
0
Totals Sell
0
2
5
0
7
Sell co
0
2
5
0
Totals Bearish
4
3
1
1
9
Bearish co
0
0
1
0
Totals Undefined action
4
5
4
6
19
Undefined co action
1
0
2
1
Totals Undefined trend
19
17
20
18
74
Undefined co trend
6
5
5
6
Totals Average
118.8
59.3
110.2
24.3
78.1
Average co
64.3
42.8
92.0
17.7
co-shrt ISS 1st Run
hold
hold
SELL
hold
Avg shrt OSS 1st Run
103.3
59.0
152.0
20.0
co-shrt OSS 1st Run
75
53
191
3
co-shrt OSS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
co-shrt OSS 1st Run
---
---
---
---
co-shrt ISS 2nd Run
hold
hold
SELL
hold
Avg shrt OSS 2nd Run
95.3
56.0
130.5
20.5
co-shrt OSS 2nd Run
43
41
105
5
co-shrt OSS 2nd Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
co-shrt OSS 2nd Run
---
---
---
---
co-med ISS 1st Run
--
SELL
--
--
Avg shrt OSS 1st Run
141.8
78.0
116.8
28.8
co-med OSS 1st Run
92
70
112
33
co-med OSS 1st Run
hold
hold
SELL
hold
co-med OSS 1st Run
---
---
---
---
co-med ISS 2nd Run
hold
hold
SELL
hold
Avg shrt OSS 2nd Run
128.5
69.3
104.8
25.8
co-med OSS 2nd Run
64
35
64
21
co-med OSS 2nd Run
hold
SELL
SELL
hold
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 1/1/2006(UTC) Posts: 39
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The forum does not allow me to do one complete post so I will post it in sections:
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
Hold cc
12
10
12
9
Hold mix
9
11
12
11
Hold flex
11
7
9
7
Buy cc
0
2
0
3
Buy mix
0
0
0
0
Buy flex
0
0
0
0
Bullish cc
0
0
0
0
Bullish mix
0
0
0
0
Bullish flex
0
2
2
4
Sell cc
0
0
0
0
Sell mix
0
0
0
0
Sell flex
0
0
0
0
Bearish cc
0
0
0
0
Bearish mix
4
1
0
1
Bearish flex
0
2
0
0
Undefined cc action
0
0
0
0
Undefined mix action
3
1
0
1
Undefined flex action
0
4
2
4
Undefined cc trend
6
6
6
6
Undefined mix trend
2
5
6
5
Undefined flex trend
5
1
3
1
Average cc
132.3
56.2
101.3
25.7
Average mix
127.7
66.7
127.3
23.7
Average flex
150.8
71.3
120.0
30.0
cc-shrt ISS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
BUY
mix-shrt ISS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
flex-shrt ISS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
cc-shrt OSS 1st Run
97
58
103
27
mix-shrt OSS 1st Run
117
59
166
14
flex-shrt OSS 1st Run
124
66
148
36
cc-shrt OSS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
BUY
mix-shrt OSS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
--
flex-shrt OSS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
cc-shrt OSS 1st Run
---
---
---
---
mix-shrt OSS 1st Run
---
---
---
Bearish
flex-shrt OSS 1st Run
---
---
---
---
cc-shrt ISS 2nd Run
hold
hold
hold
BUY
mix-shrt ISS 2nd Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
flex-shrt ISS 2nd Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
cc-shrt OSS 2nd Run
97
58
103
27
mix-shrt OSS 2nd Run
117
59
166
14
flex-shrt OSS 2nd Run
124
66
148
36
cc-shrt OSS 2nd Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
mix-shrt OSS 2nd Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
flex-shrt OSS 2nd Run
cc-shrt OSS 2nd Run
---
---
---
---
mix-shrt OSS 2nd Run
Bearish
---
---
---
flex-shrt OSS 2nd Run
cc-med ISS 1st Run
hold
hold
hold
hold
mix-med ISS 1st Run
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 1/1/2006(UTC) Posts: 39
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Continuing with the experiment on TrendMedium:
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
vwo
vgk
vpl
vti
Short ISS 1st Run hold
4
4
3
3
Short ISS 2nd Run hold
4
4
3
3
Total Short ISS hold
8
8
6
6
66.7%
66.7%
50.0%
50.0%
Short ISS 1st Run Buy
0
0
0
1
Short ISS 2nd Run Buy
0
0
0
1
Total Short ISS Buy
0
0
0
2
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
16.7%
Short ISS 1st Run Sell
0
0
1
0
Short ISS 2nd Run Sell
0
0
1
0
Total Short ISS Sell
0
0
2
0
0.0%
0.0%
16.7%
0.0%
Short ISS 1st Run undefined action
0
0
0
0
Short ISS 2nd Run undefined action
0
0
0
0
Short ISS undefined action
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Short OSS 1st Run hold
4
4
4
2
Short OSS 2nd Run hold
3
3
3
3
Total Short OSS hold
7
7
7
5
58.3%
58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Short OSS 1st Run Buy
0
0
0
1
Short OSS 2nd Run Buy
0
0
0
0
Total Short OSS Buy
0
0
0
1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8.3%
Short OSS 1st Run Sell
0
0
0
0
Short OSS 2nd Run Sell
0
0
0
0
Total Short OSS Sell
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Short OSS 1st Run undefined action
0
0
0
1
Short OSS 2nd Run undefined action
0
0
0
0
Short OSS undefined action
0
0
0
1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8.3%
Short OSS 1st Run Bullish
0
0
0
0
Short OSS 2nd Run Bullish
0
0
0
0
Total Short OSS Bullish
0
0
0
0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Short OSS 1st Run Bearish
0
0
0
1
Short OSS 2nd Run Bearish
1
0
0
0
Total Short OSS Bearish
1
0
0
1
8.3%
0.0%
0.0%
8.3%
Short OSS 1st Run undefined trend
4
4
4
3
Short OSS 2nd Run undefined trend
2
3
3
3
Total Short OSS undefined trend
6
7
7
6
50.0%
58.3%
58.3%
50.0%
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 1/1/2006(UTC) Posts: 39
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Last section:
vwo
vwo
vgk
vgk
vpl
vpl
vti
vti
Total for Hold
40
83.3%
38
79.2%
38
79.2%
38
79.2%
154
Total for Buy
3
6.3%
2
4.2%
0
0.0%
3
6.3%
8
Total for Sell
0
0.0%
2
4.2%
5
10.4%
0
0.0%
7
Total for undefined action
4
8.3%
5
10.4%
4
8.3%
6
12.5%
19
47
97.9%
47
97.9%
47
97.9%
47
97.9%
188
Total for undefined trend
19
79.2%
17
70.8%
20
83.3%
18
75.0%
74
Total Bullish
0
0.0%
3
12.5%
2
8.3%
4
16.7%
9
Total Bearish
4
16.7%
3
12.5%
1
4.2%
1
4.2%
9
23
95.8%
23
95.8%
23
95.8%
23
95.8%
92
Total short-term hold signals
15
93.8%
15
93.8%
13
81.3%
11
68.8%
All short-term hold signals
54
84.4%
Total short-term Buy signals
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
3
18.8%
All short-term Buy signals
3
4.7%
Total short-term Sell signals
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
2
12.5%
0
0.0%
All short-term Sell signals
2
3.1%
Total short-term undefined action
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
6.3%
All short-term undefined action
1
1.6%
93.8%
Total short-term bullish signals
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
All short-term bullish signals
0
0.0%
Total short-term bearish signals
1
12.5%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
12.5%
All short-term bearish signals
2
6.3%
Total short-term undefined trend signals
6
75.0%
7
87.5%
7
87.5%
6
75.0%
All short-term undefined trend signals
26
81.3%
87.5%
Total medium-term hold signals
14
87.5%
11
68.8%
11
68.8%
13
81.3%
All medium-term hold signals
49
76.6%
Total medium-term Buy signals
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
All medium-term Buy signals
0
0.0%
Total medium-term Sell signals
0
0.0%
2
12.5%
3
18.8%
0
0.0%
All medium-term Sell signals
5
7.8%
Total medium-term undefined action
2
12.5%
3
18.8%
2
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 1/1/2006(UTC) Posts: 39
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Compare this with the following, for example:
I tried all sorts of things to post a picture of a MS chart, but I failed sorry.
Anyway, perhaps someone can tell how to interpret correctly and quickly the collected data.
Each of the four models (co, cc, mix, flex) included in TrendMedium was run six times:
two for the short-term, two for the middle-term, and two for the long-term.
The only ETF to rise in the last two days is VGK increasing by 0.7%; however, short-term this ETF had no buy signals.
It had 15 hold signals and one undefined action signal.
It also had one bullish trend signal and 7 undefined trend signals.
VTI did have 3 buy signals and 1 bullish trend signal; however, over the last two days it is down 0.3%.
It is possible that I have not given it enough time to develop, but after spending so much time with it, the results are not very encouraging.
Regards,
FX Learning
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 12/10/2005(UTC) Posts: 6
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered, Registered Users Joined: 12/10/2005(UTC) Posts: 6
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Dear FX Learning.
I have unreleased core with wave profit loss control and if you will find it useful (below I'll give EURUSD 60 min 120 days Walk Forward Test result) and will like try it just let me know ...
Regards,
Eugene Labunsy.
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Anybobdy had any thoughts about TrendMedium?
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